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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+3.89vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.61+5.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.00+6.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine3.43+2.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Washington3.09+1.79vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.17-3.01vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.84-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.99-4.16vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24-2.41vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.98-6.42vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.64-0.04vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame1.25-0.01vs Predicted
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16University of Texas1.82-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.25-4.33vs Predicted
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18University of Saint Thomas-1.92-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Washington3.090.0%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.37Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.59Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University3.980.1%1st Place
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13.96Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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17.81University of Saint Thomas-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 13.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Justin Doane | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 38.8% | 3.4% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 0.5% |
| Ann Owen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 93.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.