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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+5.62vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+1.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.99vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+1.06vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.29vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.44-0.31vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-2.74vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.320.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.66vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.64vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.97-0.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.88vs Predicted
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15Washington College-2.27-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62George Washington University1.078.0%1st Place
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3.86Cornell University1.7919.4%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.0%1st Place
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5.06Old Dominion University1.5211.7%1st Place
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9.06Christopher Newport University-0.843.8%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University1.8614.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Pennsylvania1.166.3%1st Place
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7.69Columbia University0.445.5%1st Place
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6.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.928.1%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University-0.322.8%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy1.187.2%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Maritime College-0.522.2%1st Place
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12.26Princeton University-0.971.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.5%1st Place
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13.88Washington College-2.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 19.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Ava Farley | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 30.9% | 19.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.