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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.57+7.90vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51+4.58vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.32+4.27vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.99+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.07+3.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.27-5.11vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83-2.24vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.26-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.39vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-5.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.35-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.02-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Southern California2.7728.7%1st Place
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9.9University of Hawaii0.572.8%1st Place
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5.39University of Hawaii1.5610.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Washington0.513.7%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.322.5%1st Place
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7.37University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Davis0.072.2%1st Place
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9.16University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii2.2718.4%1st Place
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7.76Salve Regina University0.835.0%1st Place
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9.98Western Washington University0.262.2%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Los Angeles0.322.6%1st Place
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7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.137.1%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Berkeley0.352.6%1st Place
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10.83University of Virginia0.021.8%1st Place
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13.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 28.7% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Trey Summers | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.4% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.