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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+6.46vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+5.20vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77-0.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.32+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.56-1.60vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.00vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.57+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+1.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.35-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.68-5.08vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.60-1.91vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Salve Regina University0.835.3%1st Place
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7.2University of Hawaii0.995.0%1st Place
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2.85University of Southern California2.7730.3%1st Place
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8.87Salve Regina University1.324.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Hawaii2.2720.3%1st Place
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8.69University of Washington0.512.9%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii1.569.2%1st Place
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7.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.6%1st Place
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9.58University of Hawaii0.572.8%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis0.072.6%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Los Angeles0.322.8%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.8%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Berkeley0.352.4%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego0.683.0%1st Place
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13.09Western Washington University-0.600.9%1st Place
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10.59University of Virginia0.021.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.3% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 20.3% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Trey Summers | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 38.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 31.6% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.