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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+3.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.77-2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.57+3.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.07+3.31vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.32+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99-1.82vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.80vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.32-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.35-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Hawaii2.2719.4%1st Place
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5.42University of Hawaii1.568.8%1st Place
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7.67Salve Regina University0.834.5%1st Place
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8.39University of Washington0.513.9%1st Place
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2.76University of Southern California2.7730.9%1st Place
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9.72University of Hawaii0.572.2%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Davis0.072.2%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.323.2%1st Place
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7.18University of Hawaii0.995.8%1st Place
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7.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.8%1st Place
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13.0Western Washington University-0.601.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Los Angeles0.322.5%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Berkeley0.353.2%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.9%1st Place
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10.51University of Virginia0.022.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 8.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.9% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 20.5% | 30.3% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 38.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.