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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.98vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+6.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+5.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.56vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.17vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-3.84vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-4.65vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-2.99vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-3.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.23vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.75vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-4.85vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.14-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.67Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.84Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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12.15George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.21Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.