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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+9.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+9.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.35vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.66vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.09vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.59vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-1.50vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-7.27vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-5.63vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.71-4.77vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-9.89vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.06Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.73Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.5Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.37Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.11College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.84George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 17.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Mary Hall | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.