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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.35vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.03-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+5.42vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.18+3.17vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.510.00vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.70-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.58-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.59-0.22vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-2.42vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Salve Regina University1.2111.2%1st Place
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6.96Western Washington University0.646.3%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii2.0329.4%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.9%1st Place
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8.17Salve Regina University0.184.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii1.0911.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii0.516.3%1st Place
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7.78University of Washington-1.394.5%1st Place
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7.12University of Southern California0.386.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Hawaii0.708.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
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10.59University of Virginia-0.582.4%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Berkeley-0.253.1%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Davis-1.590.5%1st Place
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12.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.9%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 29.4% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Knobel | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 23.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 41.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.