← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.03+1.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.09+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.21+2.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii0.70+2.37vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.18+2.91vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.51+0.90vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+2.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-1.39-0.09vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.64-1.95vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.64vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia-0.58-0.44vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-1.67vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California0.38-5.83vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.23vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.59-1.27vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9University of Hawaii2.0330.5%1st Place
-
5.1University of Hawaii1.0912.3%1st Place
-
5.34Salve Regina University1.2110.2%1st Place
-
6.37University of Hawaii0.706.9%1st Place
-
7.91Salve Regina University0.184.6%1st Place
-
6.9University of Hawaii0.517.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.9%1st Place
-
7.91University of Washington-1.393.9%1st Place
-
7.05Western Washington University0.645.8%1st Place
-
9.36University of California at Berkeley-0.253.6%1st Place
-
10.56University of Virginia-0.582.2%1st Place
-
10.33University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.1%1st Place
-
7.17University of Southern California0.386.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
-
13.73University of California at Davis-1.590.6%1st Place
-
13.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 30.5% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Smith | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 38.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.