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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+9.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.71vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+7.95vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+6.30vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+2.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.73vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-2.13vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99+0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.32vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.14-4.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.48vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-3.90vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.78vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.73Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.87Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.1George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.01Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 17.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.