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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.70+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+0.91vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.21+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.94vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.18+2.82vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.64+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.380.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.29vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.59+2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.39-4.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.92vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.58-4.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.41-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of Hawaii0.707.2%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii2.0329.6%1st Place
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5.27Salve Regina University1.2111.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Hawaii1.0912.5%1st Place
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7.82Salve Regina University0.184.2%1st Place
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6.44Western Washington University0.647.4%1st Place
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7.0University of Southern California0.386.2%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego-1.461.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Hawaii0.515.9%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.5%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Davis-1.590.4%1st Place
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7.59University of Washington-1.394.3%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.4%1st Place
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12.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.3%1st Place
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10.29University of Virginia-0.582.2%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Berkeley-2.410.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Knobel | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 29.6% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 13.2% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 23.8% |
| Emily Smith | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.