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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.17vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.49vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+4.34vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+4.47vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.29vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-1.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99+0.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.10vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.09vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-2.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.25vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-5.82vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.71-5.57vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.34Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.9Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.98Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.65George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.43Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.