← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.38+6.15vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.21+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.18+5.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.09+1.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.70+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.51+1.11vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.64-0.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.03-5.08vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-1.39-1.17vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia-0.58+0.58vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.40vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.58vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.32vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.16vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-2.39vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-1.59-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15University of Southern California0.385.8%1st Place
-
5.28Salve Regina University1.2110.5%1st Place
-
8.08Salve Regina University0.184.5%1st Place
-
5.05University of Hawaii1.0912.3%1st Place
-
6.34University of Hawaii0.706.8%1st Place
-
7.11University of Hawaii0.515.8%1st Place
-
6.89Western Washington University0.647.0%1st Place
-
2.92University of Hawaii2.0329.7%1st Place
-
7.83University of Washington-1.395.8%1st Place
-
10.58University of Virginia-0.581.8%1st Place
-
9.6University of California at Berkeley-0.252.9%1st Place
-
9.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.6%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.9%1st Place
-
12.84University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
-
12.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.9%1st Place
-
13.61University of California at Davis-1.591.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Knobel | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Patton | 29.7% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.