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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+1.98vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.21+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+4.16vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+1.12vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.18+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+3.35vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.64+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.70-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.46-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19-1.96vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.58-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.41-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of Hawaii2.0328.6%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University1.219.7%1st Place
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7.16University of Southern California0.385.3%1st Place
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5.12University of Hawaii1.0912.9%1st Place
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8.07Salve Regina University0.184.5%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.9%1st Place
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7.04Western Washington University0.646.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Hawaii0.516.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii0.707.8%1st Place
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7.29University of Washington0.466.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Davis-0.193.3%1st Place
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13.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.5%1st Place
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10.32University of Virginia-0.582.9%1st Place
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12.56University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.9%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Berkeley-2.410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 28.6% | 24.1% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Knobel | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 26.1% | 23.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 13.8% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| John Cornet | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.