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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.91vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+8.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+5.74vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.84vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+3.58vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+1.49vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-1.93vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-1.48vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-7.20vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.04vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-3.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.74Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.84Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.49Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.57Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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12.25George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.