← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.19+4.15vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.61+5.21vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.17+2.00vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University4.31+0.54vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-0.27vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.98-0.36vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.84-0.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine3.43-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College3.24-0.47vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington3.09-1.06vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College3.00-1.56vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami3.99-6.44vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.42+0.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Minnesota2.25-2.47vs Predicted
-
16University of Notre Dame1.25-0.95vs Predicted
-
17University of Texas1.82-3.21vs Predicted
-
18University of Saint Thomas-0.90-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.15Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
8.21Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
-
6.0Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
5.54Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
-
6.64Stanford University3.980.1%1st Place
-
7.08Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.55University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
-
9.53Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.94University of Washington3.090.0%1st Place
-
10.44SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
6.56University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
14.49Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
-
12.53University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
-
13.79University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
-
17.5University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Doane | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Felipe Lopez | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ted Green | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Krause | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 24.9% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 37.4% | 6.9% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 2.9% |
| Eric Miller | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.