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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+5.70vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09+0.39vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.18+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.38+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.70-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.58-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.46-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-3.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.25-4.13vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.29vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Salve Regina University1.2111.6%1st Place
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3.06University of Hawaii2.0328.1%1st Place
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7.18Western Washington University0.646.2%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.5%1st Place
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5.39University of Hawaii1.0911.2%1st Place
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8.11Salve Regina University0.183.9%1st Place
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7.26University of Southern California0.385.5%1st Place
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6.46University of Hawaii0.707.9%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii0.516.3%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.4%1st Place
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10.93University of Virginia-0.582.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Washington0.465.3%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Davis-0.193.2%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley-0.252.5%1st Place
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13.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.7%1st Place
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13.26University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 28.1% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Theodore Knobel | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 7.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 41.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 22.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.