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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+3.90vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.84+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09+0.22vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.18+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.510.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.19+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-3.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.18-1.02vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.78vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.58-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-2.41-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Salve Regina University1.2110.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.0327.3%1st Place
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6.9Western Washington University0.646.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii0.849.4%1st Place
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5.22University of Hawaii1.0910.8%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University0.184.7%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii0.517.4%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Davis-0.193.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Southern California0.385.9%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Washington0.445.7%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.9%1st Place
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11.98University of California at San Diego-1.181.5%1st Place
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13.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.8%1st Place
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10.68University of Virginia-0.581.9%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Berkeley-2.410.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Peter Cronin | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Samuel Patton | 27.3% | 24.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tyler Nolasco | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Nikhil Stewart | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Morgan Carew | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Molly Hanrahan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Nathaniel Holden | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
Edward Ansart | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
Samuel Delasanta | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Ryan Martin | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
Megan Saenz | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 9.6% |
Jeffrey Romeo | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 27.5% | 23.4% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 2.8% |
John Cornet | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 17.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.