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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.44vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.51+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.84+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+4.97vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.38+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19+2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-2.43vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.18-0.74vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.64-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.58-3.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Salve Regina University1.2111.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Hawaii2.0327.8%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii0.515.9%1st Place
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6.21University of Hawaii0.848.9%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.9%1st Place
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7.66University of Southern California0.385.1%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Davis-0.193.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Hawaii1.099.7%1st Place
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8.26Salve Regina University0.184.4%1st Place
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7.13Western Washington University0.647.3%1st Place
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7.51University of Washington0.445.3%1st Place
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12.66University of California at San Diego-1.181.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Berkeley-0.252.5%1st Place
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11.0University of Virginia-0.582.2%1st Place
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13.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.8%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 27.8% | 21.8% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Saenz | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 24.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 43.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.