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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+6.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+6.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+4.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+3.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14+0.41vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-4.30vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.16-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.05vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.56vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-3.87vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.33vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.41Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.68Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.4Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.13George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.05Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.