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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.40vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+0.97vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.18+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.38+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.39+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.84-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.19+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.58+0.62vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.64-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.18-0.70vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.22-1.58vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-2.41-0.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Salve Regina University1.2110.6%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii2.0329.2%1st Place
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8.0Salve Regina University0.185.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Southern California0.385.8%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii1.0910.7%1st Place
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7.98University of Washington-1.394.8%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii0.8410.1%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Davis-0.193.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Hawaii0.515.7%1st Place
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10.62University of Virginia-0.581.9%1st Place
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7.01Western Washington University0.646.6%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.4%1st Place
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12.3University of California at San Diego-1.181.1%1st Place
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12.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.220.9%1st Place
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14.57University of California at Berkeley-2.410.2%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 29.2% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Megan Saenz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 13.4% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 23.8% | 14.5% |
| John Cornet | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 59.7% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.