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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.95vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+8.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.38vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+6.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.64vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+5.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+2.43vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.04+5.10vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+1.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+1.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.88vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.10-9.11vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-7.36vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.77Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.32Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.43Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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13.1Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.61University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 23.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.