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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.03+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.84+3.00vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.18+4.36vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.58+6.11vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.39+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19+2.56vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.02vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.64-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.51-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.25-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.22vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.22-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Salve Regina University1.2110.0%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii2.0328.6%1st Place
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6.0University of Hawaii0.847.8%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University0.184.2%1st Place
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11.11University of Virginia-0.582.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Washington-1.394.7%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Davis-0.193.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Hawaii1.0912.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Southern California0.385.8%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.4%1st Place
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7.24Western Washington University0.645.7%1st Place
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7.21University of Hawaii0.516.1%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Berkeley-0.253.2%1st Place
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12.78University of California at San Diego-1.181.4%1st Place
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12.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.220.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Patton | 28.6% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Emily Smith | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Frances Tarpey-Schwed | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Megan Saenz | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 28.9% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.