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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+7.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.67vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.04+8.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96+1.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.83vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.74vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.37vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.41vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.41vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-3.44vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.32vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.97-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.08Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.74Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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12.56University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 23.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.