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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+4.34vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.13+5.28vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+1.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.33vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39+6.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.97-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99+1.34vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.60+0.89vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.23-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.48-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.58-4.20vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.57-0.36vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.03-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Southern California2.7712.8%1st Place
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7.28George Washington University2.137.8%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University2.7613.1%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.458.9%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.2010.5%1st Place
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7.33California Poly Maritime Academy2.076.2%1st Place
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6.94Boston University1.798.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Washington-1.390.9%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston1.975.9%1st Place
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11.34University of Hawaii0.992.6%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.6%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College0.601.7%1st Place
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11.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.4%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego1.382.7%1st Place
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13.77Western Washington University0.231.2%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Los Angeles1.484.0%1st Place
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12.8University of California at Berkeley0.581.4%1st Place
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17.64Arizona State University-1.570.1%1st Place
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17.14University of Oregon-1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Max Anker | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Calum Merry | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 22.9% | 54.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 31.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.