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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+9.12vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.84vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.04+10.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.57vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+5.42vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.36vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.25vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.23vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-1.05vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.46vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.41vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.18vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.90vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-7.27vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.56Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.42Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.95Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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12.4University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 24.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.5% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Amina Brown | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.