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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+4.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+3.37vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.24vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.13+1.32vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+0.20vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38+2.28vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.97-2.22vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.39+1.94vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.48-4.13vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.03+2.00vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-4.59vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.60-4.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.58-5.39vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.57-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3University of Southern California2.7713.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
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4.9Georgetown University2.7615.5%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.209.5%1st Place
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7.32George Washington University2.137.1%1st Place
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7.2California Poly Maritime Academy2.077.6%1st Place
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.2%1st Place
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11.28University of California at San Diego1.382.7%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston1.975.9%1st Place
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11.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.6%1st Place
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13.94University of Washington-1.390.9%1st Place
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13.85Western Washington University0.231.1%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Los Angeles1.482.9%1st Place
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17.0University of Oregon-1.030.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Hawaii0.992.3%1st Place
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12.9Connecticut College0.601.8%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Berkeley0.581.8%1st Place
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17.63Arizona State University-1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Anker | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 31.8% | 34.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Calum Merry | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.