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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.16vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.26vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.39vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.04+3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-1.21vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-1.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.13vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.64vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-3.33vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.03vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.58Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.94Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.87Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.67University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 26.6% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.