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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+3.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.13+5.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+7.20vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.77+0.26vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.39+7.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-1.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-2.46vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.23+3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.99+0.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.02vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.97-6.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.60-3.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.58-4.00vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University-1.00-1.07vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.00-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Georgetown University2.7613.2%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University2.136.9%1st Place
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7.03Boston University1.797.7%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego1.382.5%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California2.7713.5%1st Place
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7.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.077.8%1st Place
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14.17University of Washington-1.390.9%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.209.2%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University2.458.9%1st Place
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13.6Western Washington University0.231.2%1st Place
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11.41University of Hawaii0.992.9%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.7%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles1.483.2%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston1.976.6%1st Place
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11.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.9%1st Place
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12.97Connecticut College0.601.2%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Berkeley0.581.3%1st Place
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16.93Oregon State University-1.000.2%1st Place
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16.93Arizona State University-1.000.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Hou | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
| David Eastwood | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 23.1% | 41.4% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 25.1% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.