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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+4.21vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.98vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.13+4.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+2.38vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.97+2.86vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.99+4.32vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60+4.90vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.24vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.38-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.39+0.13vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.23-1.16vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.73vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.58-4.22vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University-1.00-1.02vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.00-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of Southern California2.7713.0%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University2.7614.3%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University2.136.9%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.4510.1%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston1.976.6%1st Place
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6.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.4%1st Place
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11.32University of Hawaii0.992.1%1st Place
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12.9Connecticut College0.601.3%1st Place
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7.02Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.208.9%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Los Angeles1.483.6%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy2.077.8%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego1.382.6%1st Place
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14.13University of Washington-1.391.0%1st Place
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13.84Western Washington University0.231.1%1st Place
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11.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.2%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Berkeley0.581.6%1st Place
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16.98Oregon State University-1.000.2%1st Place
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17.1Arizona State University-1.000.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Collins | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 5.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 22.7% | 43.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 25.0% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.