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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+5.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.59vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+2.79vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67+0.01vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-6.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.24vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-0.71vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.04vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-5.39vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.62vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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8.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.79University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.29Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.61Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 25.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Amina Brown | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.