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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.13+6.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.97+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.77+0.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.99+3.69vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.73vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-5.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.60+2.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.48-2.06vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-0.15vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.23+0.22vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.58-1.72vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.03+0.62vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-1.39-3.83vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.38-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71George Washington University2.136.3%1st Place
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7.05Boston University1.797.3%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.208.6%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston1.976.3%1st Place
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5.38University of Southern California2.7711.9%1st Place
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6.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.5%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University2.459.7%1st Place
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11.69University of Hawaii0.992.2%1st Place
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7.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.077.4%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University2.7616.8%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College0.601.3%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Los Angeles1.483.5%1st Place
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12.85Arizona State University0.741.5%1st Place
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14.22Western Washington University0.230.8%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Berkeley0.581.1%1st Place
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11.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.1%1st Place
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17.62University of Oregon-1.030.3%1st Place
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14.17University of Washington-1.391.1%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego1.382.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Collins | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 16.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 64.7% |
| Emily Smith | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 8.9% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.