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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+3.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.63vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+2.45vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+1.56vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+1.66vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.83vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.41vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-5.69vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.90vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-3.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.17George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.7Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 17.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 28.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.