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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+2.95vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+4.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86-1.22vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.44+0.82vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.79vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.15vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.32+0.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.89vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.52vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.97-1.77vs Predicted
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15Washington College-2.27-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Cornell University1.7919.9%1st Place
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6.58George Washington University1.077.6%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.0%1st Place
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4.95Old Dominion University1.5213.8%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania1.167.0%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University1.8613.8%1st Place
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7.82Columbia University0.444.2%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.928.0%1st Place
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9.15Christopher Newport University-0.842.9%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University-0.322.4%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.188.2%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.0%1st Place
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10.48SUNY Maritime College-0.521.8%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University-0.970.9%1st Place
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13.82Washington College-2.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 19.9% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Ava Farley | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 4.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 29.0% | 19.6% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.