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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.29vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.04+11.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+3.63vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+1.06vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.49vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.29vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-3.12vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-2.65vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.64vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.24vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.56vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.09vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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13.67Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.58College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.71Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.35Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 26.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.