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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+6.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77+1.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.21vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.52vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.13+0.55vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.97+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38+2.52vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-3.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.89vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.39+1.40vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.60-0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.99-3.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.58-2.81vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.74-4.24vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.03-0.44vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University0.23-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Boston University1.797.6%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University2.7614.8%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.208.3%1st Place
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5.32University of Southern California2.7712.5%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.3%1st Place
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11.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.2%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University2.136.9%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston1.976.3%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego1.383.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.458.6%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Los Angeles1.483.2%1st Place
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7.31California Poly Maritime Academy2.077.2%1st Place
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14.4University of Washington-1.390.8%1st Place
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13.3Connecticut College0.601.2%1st Place
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11.6University of Hawaii0.993.0%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Berkeley0.581.7%1st Place
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12.76Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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17.56University of Oregon-1.030.2%1st Place
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14.27Western Washington University0.231.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Collins | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 9.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 62.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.