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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+3.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+4.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+3.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.07vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.97+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+4.15vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.84vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.77-4.74vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.23+2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.99-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.39+0.96vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.89-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.48-5.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.58-3.11vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.57+0.70vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.60-5.14vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University-1.00-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Georgetown University2.7615.3%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University2.459.8%1st Place
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6.98Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.8%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.209.4%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston1.977.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at San Diego1.381.9%1st Place
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7.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.078.0%1st Place
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11.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.132.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California2.7712.6%1st Place
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13.65Western Washington University0.231.2%1st Place
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11.43University of Hawaii0.992.2%1st Place
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13.96University of Washington-1.391.4%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.894.9%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Los Angeles1.484.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Berkeley0.581.3%1st Place
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17.7Arizona State University-1.570.4%1st Place
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12.86Connecticut College0.601.4%1st Place
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16.77Oregon State University-1.000.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Anker | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Collins | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Hou | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Calum Merry | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 20.8% | 57.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 34.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.