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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+7.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.59vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+4.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+4.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.01vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.80vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24+0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.71vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.07vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.04-1.76vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.02vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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12.85University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.24Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.64Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 20.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 22.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.