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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+3.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+3.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.86+2.56vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+2.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+1.81vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65-0.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-1.39vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83-0.02vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-0.70vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.36-1.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.38-3.49vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.56-1.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.24vs Predicted
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18-2.11-0.32vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.07-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Georgetown University2.4116.8%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.0411.6%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston1.8810.0%1st Place
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6.56George Washington University1.868.3%1st Place
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7.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.4%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.6%1st Place
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6.96Boston University1.657.2%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University2.079.7%1st Place
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7.61University of Hawaii1.567.0%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College0.833.3%1st Place
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11.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.8%1st Place
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11.3University of California at San Diego0.682.0%1st Place
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11.76Western Washington University0.361.8%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Los Angeles0.322.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Southern California0.381.9%1st Place
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14.55University of Washington-0.561.1%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Berkeley-0.251.1%1st Place
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17.68-2.110.0%1st Place
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17.49Arizona State University-2.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 16.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barton | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 2.2% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 30.2% | 46.6% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 31.0% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.