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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+7.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.92vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.88vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.98vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+4.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.36vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.30vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.37vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.29vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.26vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.47vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.13vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.04-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.47University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.53Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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13.4Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 25.2% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.