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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.49vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+5.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.94vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.12vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.75vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.77vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.73-2.55vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.56vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.60vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.26vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.04-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.44Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.15Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 19.4% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.