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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+4.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+4.12vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+3.91vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+2.78vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.19+1.32vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+1.53vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.56+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.94+1.71vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.28vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.67+0.88vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.38-0.79vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.55-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.68-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.56-0.33vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.11-3.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.24vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.15-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Georgetown University2.4113.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.049.9%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston1.889.6%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.078.8%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University2.1910.5%1st Place
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7.53Boston University1.656.9%1st Place
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7.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Hawaii1.566.5%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Los Angeles0.942.6%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.1%1st Place
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11.88Western Washington University0.672.7%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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12.21University of Southern California0.382.2%1st Place
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8.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.555.8%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego0.682.4%1st Place
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15.67University of Washington-0.560.8%1st Place
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13.44University of Oregon0.111.5%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Berkeley-0.250.5%1st Place
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16.91Arizona State University-1.150.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Drew Wolf | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Will Glasson | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Sean Ross | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 24.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 14.1% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.