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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.69vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.65vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+3.64vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.51+0.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.29vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-3.44vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-6.26vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-3.22vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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13.78Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Amina Brown | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 29.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.