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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+5.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.19+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.94+7.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.83+7.15vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+0.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.07-0.31vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.55+0.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.88-2.01vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.56-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68+0.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-5.52vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.67-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.56-0.46vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.11-3.78vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.15-1.09vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.25-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.0410.5%1st Place
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6.35George Washington University2.1910.4%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Los Angeles0.943.4%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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5.19Georgetown University2.4113.2%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.9%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.078.3%1st Place
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8.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.556.2%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston1.888.3%1st Place
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7.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.896.7%1st Place
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8.11University of Hawaii1.565.6%1st Place
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12.12University of California at San Diego0.682.5%1st Place
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7.48Boston University1.658.3%1st Place
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11.92Western Washington University0.672.2%1st Place
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12.42University of Southern California0.381.5%1st Place
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15.54University of Washington-0.560.6%1st Place
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13.22University of Oregon0.111.9%1st Place
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16.91Arizona State University-1.150.4%1st Place
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14.79University of California at Berkeley-0.251.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Will Glasson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Scott Mais | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Ross | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Micky Munns | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Emily Avey | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 47.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.