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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01+1.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04-3.74vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.91-1.35vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University1.36-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago1.00-3.49vs Predicted
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12Purdue University1.14-4.77vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.63-2.76vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-2.74-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Michigan2.970.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.24Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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7.65Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.73Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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7.23Purdue University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.24Miami University-0.630.0%1st Place
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11.76Northwestern University-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 19.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 20.5% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 14.8% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 21.5% | 21.5% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 8.7% | 0.6% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 0.1% |
| Grant Pollock | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Kellogg | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 59.9% | 10.9% |
| Simone Rivera | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 8.1% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.