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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+3.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.62+7.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+2.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.86+1.34vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.56+0.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.13vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.88-2.87vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.71vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.83-0.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.11-0.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.99vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.36-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.56-1.27vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.38-5.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.85vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.99-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Georgetown University2.4117.4%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.0411.3%1st Place
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10.91Roger Williams University0.622.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston University1.658.6%1st Place
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6.34George Washington University1.8610.0%1st Place
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6.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.7%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii1.567.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.3%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston1.8810.3%1st Place
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11.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.6%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College0.833.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at San Diego0.682.6%1st Place
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12.38University of Oregon0.111.8%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Los Angeles0.321.8%1st Place
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12.09Western Washington University0.362.4%1st Place
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14.73University of Washington-0.560.8%1st Place
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11.53University of Southern California0.382.5%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Berkeley-0.251.3%1st Place
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17.76Arizona State University-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 17.4% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Will Glasson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Noah Barton | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 11.3% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 7.8% |
| Will Sutton | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.