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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.97-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.00+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.53-1.68vs Predicted
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7Purdue University1.14+0.16vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.16-0.82vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University1.36-2.26vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.91-4.32vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.63-2.78vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-2.74-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Michigan2.970.2%1st Place
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7.6University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.16Purdue University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.18Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.74Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.68Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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10.22Miami University-0.630.0%1st Place
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11.75Northwestern University-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 20.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 21.4% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 19.4% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Drake Lundeen | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| Travis Cottle | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 9.8% | 0.4% |
| Bennett Kellogg | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 57.9% | 10.7% |
| Simone Rivera | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 7.9% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.