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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+3.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+4.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+2.44vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+2.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+5.49vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.86-0.68vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+2.89vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-1.72vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83+0.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.88-4.73vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.36-0.06vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.56+1.97vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.38-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.32-3.08vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.11-4.45vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.92vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.99-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University2.4117.3%1st Place
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6.78Boston University1.658.2%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.0412.5%1st Place
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6.87California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.8%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.357.2%1st Place
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11.49University of California at San Diego0.681.8%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University1.869.4%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii1.567.7%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College0.833.9%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston1.889.3%1st Place
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11.94Western Washington University0.361.7%1st Place
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14.97University of Washington-0.560.7%1st Place
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11.71University of Southern California0.382.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Los Angeles0.322.5%1st Place
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11.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.3%1st Place
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12.55University of Oregon0.111.6%1st Place
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14.08University of California at Berkeley-0.251.1%1st Place
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17.88Arizona State University-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Owen Timms | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Trey Summers | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 11.8% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Max Case | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Avey | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 7.0% |
| Will Sutton | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.