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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04-2.64vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-0.12vs Predicted
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8Purdue University1.14-0.73vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.91-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago1.00-2.41vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.16-3.77vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.63-2.43vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.85-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Michigan2.970.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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4.27University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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6.88Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.27Purdue University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.82Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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7.23Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.57Miami University-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.87Northwestern University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 19.1% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 21.5% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 21.8% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Grant Pollock | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 3.1% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Bennett Kellogg | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 32.5% | 40.2% |
| Matthew Zampa | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 27.6% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.