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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+4.76vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+5.21vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.88+3.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+3.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41-0.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+4.03vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.19-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.94+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.56-2.27vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.55-3.43vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.67-0.87vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.38-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.68-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.10vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.56-2.36vs Predicted
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18-2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.09-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.0410.4%1st Place
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7.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.7%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston1.888.5%1st Place
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7.0Boston University1.657.8%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University2.4115.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.3%1st Place
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11.03Roger Williams University0.622.6%1st Place
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5.81George Washington University2.1910.5%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Los Angeles0.943.2%1st Place
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7.73University of Hawaii1.566.9%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.556.4%1st Place
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11.13Western Washington University0.672.5%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College0.833.3%1st Place
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11.63University of Southern California0.382.5%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego0.682.6%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Berkeley-0.251.5%1st Place
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14.64University of Washington-0.560.9%1st Place
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17.64-2.110.1%1st Place
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17.65Arizona State University-2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barton | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 3.6% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 31.3% | 46.6% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 31.9% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.