Race 4A

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Oltrogge 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 9.9% 13.0% 14.0% 14.3% 10.7% 7.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Connor Trepton 21.7% 20.2% 17.7% 16.2% 8.7% 7.5% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 5.9% 7.2% 8.0% 11.4% 15.6% 17.4% 13.5% 7.6% 1.5%
Alex Ramos 19.8% 18.4% 18.2% 15.2% 11.8% 9.0% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Drake Lundeen 13.2% 13.5% 14.4% 14.6% 14.5% 11.3% 8.5% 5.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Zi Chong Kao 2.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 6.8% 6.2% 12.2% 14.6% 13.8% 18.0% 10.9% 2.3%
Bill Weiland 4.2% 5.7% 5.0% 6.6% 9.1% 13.2% 11.5% 14.3% 13.5% 10.2% 5.6% 1.1%
Grant Pollock 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 8.5% 9.2% 11.2% 12.9% 15.1% 15.3% 7.8% 1.9%
Adam Gilbertson 1.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 6.9% 8.9% 12.4% 14.1% 15.7% 18.2% 9.5% 2.5%
Bennett Kellogg 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 6.2% 10.6% 31.7% 38.2%
Matthew Zampa 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 5.5% 7.8% 25.5% 52.2%
Laura Wefer 21.3% 19.0% 17.2% 14.4% 10.7% 9.2% 5.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.