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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.37+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+0.24vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.65+2.38vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34-0.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34+1.00vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.66-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.13-4.56vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.95+0.81vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.31-1.13vs Predicted
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12Miami University-0.53-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.32-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Wisconsin2.370.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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5.13Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Minnesota0.650.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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7.0Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.26Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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10.81Purdue University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.87Northwestern University-1.310.0%1st Place
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8.75Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 18.3% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 37.8% | 28.2% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ellis | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 7.3% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Alison Kent | 17.9% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Krutikova | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 24.1% | 48.0% |
| Connor Schmitt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 27.0% | 20.8% |
| Jake Riedy | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 6.1% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 26.0% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.