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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.65+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.34+1.99vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+1.11vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.66+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.37-2.88vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13-3.51vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.32+0.92vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.31-2.11vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.53-4.25vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-1.95-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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6.36University of Minnesota0.650.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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5.11Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.41Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin2.370.2%1st Place
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3.49University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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6.91Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.89Northwestern University-1.310.0%1st Place
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8.75Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.82Purdue University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 38.3% | 28.7% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ellis | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| John Kinzel | 20.1% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 17.6% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 27.7% | 20.4% |
| Connor Schmitt | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 28.2% | 20.9% |
| Jake Riedy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 21.5% | 23.4% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Maria Krutikova | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.