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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.65+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34+0.01vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.66+0.38vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.27-1.97vs Predicted
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8Miami University-0.53+0.57vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.32-0.10vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.31-2.02vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-1.95-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of Minnesota0.650.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin2.370.2%1st Place
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2.21University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.55University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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6.38Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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5.03Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.57Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.91Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.98Northwestern University-1.310.0%1st Place
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10.82Purdue University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Ellis | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| John Kinzel | 19.0% | 23.8% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 40.4% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 15.5% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Riedy | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 5.1% |
| David Aspery | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 25.8% | 21.6% |
| Connor Schmitt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 28.1% | 22.8% |
| Maria Krutikova | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 24.1% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.