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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Ellis 3.2% 4.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.6% 12.0% 18.7% 16.7% 12.5% 5.8% 2.1% 0.2%
John Kinzel 19.0% 23.8% 19.1% 15.5% 10.9% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 40.4% 25.2% 17.0% 10.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Kent 15.5% 18.9% 18.4% 17.5% 13.2% 9.4% 3.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leslie Poole 6.9% 8.8% 12.2% 15.5% 14.0% 15.2% 11.5% 8.5% 5.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Dust 3.7% 4.0% 6.7% 8.0% 11.8% 12.4% 15.6% 17.8% 12.1% 6.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Jacob Bruce 7.1% 9.9% 10.4% 13.1% 15.9% 15.8% 12.2% 9.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jake Riedy 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.3% 9.8% 10.9% 20.4% 21.0% 15.3% 5.1%
David Aspery 2.1% 2.7% 5.2% 5.7% 8.9% 13.8% 16.3% 18.4% 15.5% 8.3% 2.9% 0.2%
Katy Carlyle 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 5.2% 12.3% 23.1% 25.8% 21.6%
Connor Schmitt 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 3.9% 6.4% 11.1% 20.7% 28.1% 22.8%
Maria Krutikova 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 3.2% 4.9% 11.6% 24.1% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.