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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.65+3.36vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+1.04vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.13-2.43vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.66-0.73vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-1.03vs Predicted
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9Miami University-0.53-0.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.31-1.11vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-1.95-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.32-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.16University of Wisconsin2.370.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Minnesota0.650.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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5.1Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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6.27Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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6.97Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.58Miami University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.89Northwestern University-1.310.0%1st Place
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10.85Purdue University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 38.2% | 27.4% | 19.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 19.9% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ellis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| David Aspery | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Jake Riedy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 4.2% |
| Connor Schmitt | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 23.1% | 25.0% | 22.4% |
| Maria Krutikova | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 23.9% | 50.8% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 20.8% | 30.1% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.