Race 1A

sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Leslie Poole 16.9% 14.5% 15.9% 13.0% 9.7% 12.2% 7.9% 5.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Alexandra Payne 16.0% 16.0% 15.4% 13.7% 12.1% 10.8% 7.6% 5.1% 3.0% 0.3%
David Meyerson 7.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.7% 9.9% 12.9% 14.8% 14.9% 9.3% 3.7%
Bill Weiland 15.7% 16.4% 13.9% 15.3% 14.0% 9.2% 7.6% 5.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Masie Comen 10.0% 8.5% 10.0% 11.3% 12.6% 12.0% 12.8% 12.4% 8.1% 2.3%
Melissa Brown 3.5% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.7% 13.4% 27.4% 27.6%
Corinne Sackett 6.3% 8.5% 9.5% 9.0% 11.7% 12.8% 16.1% 12.4% 10.0% 3.7%
John Reddaway 17.1% 17.8% 13.1% 13.4% 13.6% 10.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.3%
Tracy Hawk 6.1% 5.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 14.4% 16.8% 16.2% 5.2%
Sarah Summers 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 8.8% 17.8% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.