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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.76vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+6.66vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.27-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.32vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.59-0.82vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+0.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-1.41vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-7.87vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.64-2.73vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.50+0.25vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.77-11.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.2012.9%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.1%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.997.7%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Berkeley0.983.4%1st Place
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8.54University of California at San Diego1.383.7%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii2.2711.5%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Los Angeles1.485.9%1st Place
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7.18San Diego State University1.595.8%1st Place
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9.54Arizona State University0.743.2%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Davis0.071.5%1st Place
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9.59University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.6%1st Place
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4.13Stanford University2.6117.5%1st Place
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10.27Western Washington University0.642.6%1st Place
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14.25California State University Channel Islands-1.500.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Southern California2.7718.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 29.4% | 9.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 77.5% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.