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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.76+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.68+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.78vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+1.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.73vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.83+7.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.05vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.73+2.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+0.18vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.41-2.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.20vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-4.85vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+0.39vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.20+0.73vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-2.94vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.65-3.13vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-6.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.72-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.7628.3%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.8711.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.0%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.688.9%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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7.06California Poly Maritime Academy1.337.0%1st Place
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7.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.8%1st Place
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15.8California State University Channel Islands-0.831.3%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Berkeley0.583.4%1st Place
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8.86California Poly Maritime Academy0.864.3%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Los Angeles1.307.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.101.9%1st Place
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12.87University of California at San Diego-0.151.3%1st Place
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16.18University of California at San Diego-0.730.9%1st Place
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15.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.720.7%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-0.411.0%1st Place
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18.2University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.4%1st Place
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19.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.1%1st Place
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20.73University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
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18.06University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
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18.87University of California at Davis-1.650.2%1st Place
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16.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.5%1st Place
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19.12University of California at San Diego-1.720.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin coburn | 28.3% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| tess McMullin | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 31.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.