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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+5.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+3.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+2.60vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.84+1.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19-1.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.24+1.20vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.61-1.02vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.98-3.10vs Predicted
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11University of Washington3.09-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine3.43-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.82+0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.25+0.83vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.25-2.45vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.00-5.77vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.42-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Saint Thomas-0.90-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.22Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.2Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Washington3.090.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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14.73Tulane University1.420.0%1st Place
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17.5University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Doane | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 31.6% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Philip Krause | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 30.9% | 5.8% |
| Eric Miller | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.