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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+3.16vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+8.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-0.26vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.65vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+0.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.38-2.32vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-2.48vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University1.59-5.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.48-6.79vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Stanford University2.6116.1%1st Place
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10.32Western Washington University0.642.3%1st Place
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3.9University of Southern California2.7718.5%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii2.2710.3%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.2013.8%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.0%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.997.5%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Davis0.071.4%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.3%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Berkeley0.983.4%1st Place
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8.68University of California at San Diego1.383.1%1st Place
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9.52Arizona State University0.743.2%1st Place
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7.01San Diego State University1.596.9%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Los Angeles1.487.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Channel Islands-1.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.1% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 9.3% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 9.8% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.