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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.04+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.39+1.12vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.89+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.53-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.17-1.47vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.22-0.99vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.05-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Central Oklahoma-1.43-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Ohio State University1.040.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin1.390.2%1st Place
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3.96Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Wisconsin1.530.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Texas1.170.2%1st Place
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5.01Michigan State University0.220.1%1st Place
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6.75Texas A&M University-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Central Oklahoma-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Fronce | 15.6% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| James Sitter | 22.0% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Molly Sitter | 24.5% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 15.6% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 25.7% | 17.5% | 5.9% |
| Katherine Biancardi | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 33.8% | 39.7% |
| Daryl Nieto | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 29.6% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.