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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+0.93vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-0.19vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.59+1.07vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.06vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.64-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.38-3.52vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.07-2.65vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Stanford University2.6117.8%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii2.2711.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California2.7718.8%1st Place
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6.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.997.8%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.2013.0%1st Place
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7.07San Diego State University1.596.4%1st Place
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8.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.4%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Los Angeles1.486.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Berkeley0.983.1%1st Place
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10.36Western Washington University0.642.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at San Diego1.384.2%1st Place
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9.73Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Davis0.071.6%1st Place
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14.18California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.8% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Eastwood | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 28.1% | 10.4% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.