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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+2.68vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.34+3.46vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.89+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.53-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.17-1.34vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.05+0.50vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University1.04-4.00vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.22-3.54vs Predicted
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10University of Central Oklahoma-1.43-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Wisconsin1.200.2%1st Place
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5.46Texas A&M University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.29Tulane University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Wisconsin1.530.2%1st Place
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3.66University of Texas1.170.2%1st Place
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7.5Texas A&M University-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.0Ohio State University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.46Michigan State University0.220.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Central Oklahoma-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Norman | 17.1% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Travis James | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Molly Sitter | 23.9% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Biancardi | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 33.3% | 35.4% |
| Sean Fronce | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 7.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 4.7% |
| Daryl Nieto | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 25.8% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.