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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+5.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+4.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+5.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64+4.58vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+1.66vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.89+1.17vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-1.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-3.62vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.22+1.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-1.43vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.11-4.61vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-1.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.18+1.67vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University1.51-0.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.71-2.37vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University1.51-2.73vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.42-0.28vs Predicted
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21Tulane University1.39-4.39vs Predicted
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22University of Wisconsin1.27-4.60vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.26vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.58-4.51vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-0.78-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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5.47Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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9.66California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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13.36Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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17.67University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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16.27Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.63University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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16.27Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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19.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.420.0%1st Place
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16.61Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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17.4University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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18.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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19.49University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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22.68University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Tolan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 63.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.