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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+4.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.68+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.76+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+1.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+5.84vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.87vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-2.05vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.83+5.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.73+2.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+0.44vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.41-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72+1.03vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-3.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.02vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.65-2.99vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-3.59vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.20-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.3%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.689.3%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.7629.4%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.8713.2%1st Place
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7.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.9%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.101.9%1st Place
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8.83California Poly Maritime Academy0.863.5%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley0.583.4%1st Place
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6.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.336.6%1st Place
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15.81California State University Channel Islands-0.830.7%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.4%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Los Angeles1.306.5%1st Place
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12.97University of California at San Diego-0.151.8%1st Place
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16.04University of California at San Diego-0.730.5%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.720.6%1st Place
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14.06Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.6%1st Place
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19.03University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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18.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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16.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.6%1st Place
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17.98University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
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19.01University of California at Davis-1.650.3%1st Place
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19.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.3%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin coburn | 29.4% | 22.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 13.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| tess McMullin | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.