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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+5.72vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27+0.25vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.23vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.59-1.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-1.40vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.21vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-3.44vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.64-3.81vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.2013.8%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California2.7719.2%1st Place
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8.72University of California at San Diego1.383.2%1st Place
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6.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.996.6%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii2.2711.9%1st Place
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4.03Stanford University2.6117.2%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.485.8%1st Place
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7.0San Diego State University1.595.9%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Davis0.071.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Berkeley0.983.4%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.9%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.1%1st Place
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9.56Arizona State University0.743.4%1st Place
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10.19Western Washington University0.642.4%1st Place
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14.19California State University Channel Islands-1.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 19.2% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Brock Paquin | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.2% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 28.1% | 10.2% |
| Will Cornell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 2.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 9.5% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.