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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+4.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.81vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+6.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+5.10vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.60+9.13vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64+3.78vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69+2.17vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.73-2.98vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.27+5.35vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.51+3.65vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-4.48vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39+2.10vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-6.46vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.65-9.65vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.42+2.05vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.52vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.71-4.62vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University2.22-7.43vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University1.51-5.35vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.58-3.32vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.78-1.51vs Predicted
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25Salve Regina University2.29-11.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.8Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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11.17Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.02College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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17.35University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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16.65Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.52California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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17.1Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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20.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.420.0%1st Place
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18.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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13.57Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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16.65Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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19.68University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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22.49University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.22Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Tolan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 25.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.