← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.89+9.52vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.73+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University1.51+13.57vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+6.46vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.59vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.36-1.10vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.69vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.60+8.11vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.95-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.69+0.56vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University3.11-2.52vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine1.71+2.88vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.42+6.07vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University4.19-9.55vs Predicted
-
16Santa Clara University2.22-2.55vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California2.64-5.52vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.29-4.80vs Predicted
-
19Tulane University1.39-2.38vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin1.27-2.81vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-0.78+1.78vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.25vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles0.58-3.42vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University1.51-7.43vs Predicted
-
25Tufts University3.65-17.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.52Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.05College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
16.57Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
4.9Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
9.69California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
-
16.11University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.22Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.56Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.48Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
15.88University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
20.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.45Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
13.45Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
11.48University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
13.2Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
16.62Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
-
17.19University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
-
22.78University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
-
18.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
19.58University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
16.57Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.43Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Tolan | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.