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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.98vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.68+0.97vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.83+9.83vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.73+8.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.48vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-5.11vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.41-0.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-0.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.06vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.35vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.10vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-0.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.65-2.38vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-14.28vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.20-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.7628.7%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.3%1st Place
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6.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.336.2%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.8710.0%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.689.8%1st Place
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15.83California State University Channel Islands-0.830.7%1st Place
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7.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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16.32University of California at San Diego-0.730.8%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Berkeley0.583.4%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.306.2%1st Place
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13.01University of California at San Diego-0.151.8%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.101.9%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.4%1st Place
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8.89California Poly Maritime Academy0.864.8%1st Place
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14.05Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
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15.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.720.8%1st Place
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18.06University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
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16.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.7%1st Place
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19.1University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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19.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.4%1st Place
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18.62University of California at Davis-1.650.3%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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20.57University of California at Davis-2.200.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin coburn | 28.7% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Capita | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Michael Gaffney | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| tess McMullin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.