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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.76vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+2.35vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.77-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+2.48vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-3.67vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University1.59-3.98vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-2.38vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.64-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-4.39vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.2014.1%1st Place
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4.0Stanford University2.6118.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii2.2710.4%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.5%1st Place
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8.55University of California at San Diego1.383.8%1st Place
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3.85University of Southern California2.7718.9%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles1.485.5%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Berkeley0.983.7%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Davis0.071.0%1st Place
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6.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.997.2%1st Place
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7.02San Diego State University1.596.3%1st Place
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9.62Arizona State University0.742.5%1st Place
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10.35Western Washington University0.641.9%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.8%1st Place
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14.27California State University Channel Islands-1.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 18.2% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 28.3% | 10.8% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 4.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.