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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+6.77vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43+9.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29+4.66vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+12.52vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+2.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+0.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+3.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90+1.42vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.12-0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.74vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47+0.46vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.82+6.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.61+5.94vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.04+6.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.11-2.98vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-4.29vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.15-0.26vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.35-12.24vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.35-3.03vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University1.55-4.73vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-7.22vs Predicted
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23Tulane University0.89-4.28vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.81-9.43vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University0.04-3.54vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.42-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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11.59Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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16.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.63Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.44Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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19.16University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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19.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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21.46Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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12.71California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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17.74Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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16.97University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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16.27Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.0%1st Place
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18.72Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.57University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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21.46Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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20.46University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.