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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+5.02vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.76+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+1.35vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.83+10.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.68-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+5.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.15vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-2.24vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.44vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+3.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.73+2.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-3.25vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-8.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.08vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-3.62vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.65-1.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.20-0.19vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.97vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.88vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.0%1st Place
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6.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.337.7%1st Place
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.7629.5%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.879.7%1st Place
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15.68California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.689.6%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Los Angeles1.306.9%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.1%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Berkeley0.582.8%1st Place
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13.15University of California at San Diego-0.151.6%1st Place
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8.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.864.5%1st Place
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7.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.8%1st Place
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16.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.6%1st Place
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16.16University of California at San Diego-0.730.5%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.102.4%1st Place
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14.15Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.9%1st Place
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18.08University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.720.7%1st Place
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18.84University of California at Davis-1.650.2%1st Place
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20.81University of California at Davis-2.200.2%1st Place
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18.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.6%1st Place
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19.12University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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19.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin coburn | 29.5% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Schuyler Capita | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gaffney | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Zemke | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| tess McMullin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 33.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.2% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.