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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.65vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27+0.33vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.18vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-0.59vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.64-2.81vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-4.40vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.50-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of Southern California2.7719.1%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University2.6115.5%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.2013.8%1st Place
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6.98San Diego State University1.595.5%1st Place
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5.33University of Hawaii2.2711.6%1st Place
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6.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.998.2%1st Place
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8.59University of California at San Diego1.383.8%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Cruz1.031.7%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Los Angeles1.485.5%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley0.984.0%1st Place
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8.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.3%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Davis0.071.2%1st Place
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10.19Western Washington University0.642.5%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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14.22California State University Channel Islands-1.500.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 19.1% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 2.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 26.5% | 9.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.